BOS to SAN upgrade sitting at $490 with empty F cabin… will it drop?

Flying Saturday BOS to SAN. First class only has 2 seats taken right now. I’m MVP Silver so I’m not expecting a complimentary upgrade.

Offer in the app is $490, which feels high considering how empty it looks.

Do these buy up prices usually drop closer to departure? Or does Alaska tend to hold firm even with open seats?

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