40k Chase + $198 MIA–MAD RT in May… book it or save the points?

Looking at Miami to Madrid round trip in May.


Option 1: Chase portal for 40k points + about $198.

Option 2: Transfer to Iberia for 40k + about $256 in taxes.


Cash fares seem to be around $700 depending on dates.


So portal is cheaper out of pocket and same points. On paper that feels solid for economy, but I always see people talk about these huge value redemptions and wonder if I’m “wasting” points.


Realistically I don’t see business class deals for my dates that make sense.


Would you lock this in for economy at ~40k, or hold the points for something potentially better later?

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